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  • 标题:The future of business in Visegrad region
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Anna Sacio-Szymańska ; Anna Sacio-Szymańska ; Anna Kononiuk
  • 期刊名称:European Journal of Futures Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:2195-4194
  • 电子版ISSN:2195-2248
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:4
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:1-13
  • DOI:10.1007/s40309-016-0103-3
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Springer
  • 摘要:Abstract The paper aims to advance Futures Research by outlining the context and development perspectives of business Foresight in Visegrad region (that is in: Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary). Authors apply their research to tackle present challenges associated with the limited awareness of Foresight and constrained access to Foresight training offer in the region, which leads to insufficient Futures Literacy competences among managers and thus stiffens the opportunity to take advantage of Foresight in business practice. The paper presents two perspectives of analyzing business futures. A macro perspective, which concerns possible development scenarios of Visegrad economies, and a micro perspective, which concerns possible development scenarios of individual companies from Visegrad region. The methodology for the macro analyses involves the discussion of the futures of business in Visegrad economies based on quantitative indicators related to trade balance, foreign direct investment and SMEs prevalence analysed over 2002 – 2014 period. Whereas, the results derived from the micro level analysis are based on the expert-based scenario building exercise executed by Visegrad entrepreneurs participating in a 2-day international Foresight workshop. The research portrays the results achieved so far in the FOR_V4 project: “Mobilising Corporate Foresight potential among V4 countries”, which aims to bring futures knowledge and techniques to managers, who are expected to become “Corporate foresight evangelists” in Visegrad region.
  • 关键词:Corporate foresight;Visegrad region;Futures literacy;Scenario building
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