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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Solar energy production: Short-term forecasting and risk management
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Cédric Join ; Michel Fliess ; Cyril Voyant
  • 期刊名称:IFAC PapersOnLine
  • 印刷版ISSN:2405-8963
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:49
  • 期号:12
  • 页码:686-691
  • DOI:10.1016/j.ifacol.2016.07.790
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Elsevier
  • 摘要:Electricity production via solar energy is tackled via short-term forecasts and risk management. Our main tool is a new setting on time series. It allows the definition of "confidence bands" where the Gaussian assumption, which is not satisfied by our concrete data, may be abandoned. Those bands are quite convenient and easily implementable. Numerous computer simulations are presented.
  • 关键词:Solar energyintelligent knowledge-based systemstime seriesforecastspersistenceriskvolatilitynormality testsconfidence bands
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