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  • 标题:Il Risk Management nei progetti di investimento attraverso la Multi Criteria Decision Analysis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Elena Fregonara
  • 期刊名称:Aestimum
  • 印刷版ISSN:1592-6117
  • 电子版ISSN:1724-2118
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 期号:54
  • 页码:87-112
  • DOI:10.13128/Aestimum-3278
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Aestimum
  • 摘要:Usually, we consider Multi Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) as a deterministic approach to support complex decisions, which involve multidisciplinary profiles. Furthermore, risk analysis is considered as an integral part of investments analysis, also in a probabilistic version. In this work, we are going to explore the applicability of probabilistic MCDA in supporting risk analysis practices (as a part of project management activities), in economic feasibility evaluation of the real estate investment projects. It is assumed a management approach based on adaptive approach instead of optimization approach; to operate in context characterized by the presence of risk/uncertainty components; that these components are able to perturb decision processes and strategic choices, conditioned by subjectivity/uncertainty of stakeholders and institutions in judgement definition phase (decision maker’s utility functions, criterion scores, ranking of alternatives, etc.).
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