摘要：The aims of this work is to estimate some climatic and economic effects of climate change regard to some important agricultural cultivation in Tuscany: olives, grapevines and wheat. The multidisciplinary approach has allowed the examination of the dynamics of climate and farming yield, and some effects on the profitability of crops. The use of atmospheric models and agronomic models, has allowed the localization of the crops effects that may occur during this century. The subsequent economic evaluation, based on changes in gross farm income, has also generated results that could serve as a contribution towards the estimated impact of global economic impacts of climate change. The proposed framework revealed itself to be an effective tool for climate change impact assessment at a very local scale. Additionally, this approach may be easily extended to testing the effect of different adaptation strategies in terms of management practices (e.g. irrigation) and selection varieties (e.g. longer or shorter cycle, advanced or delayed bud burst).
其他摘要：The aims of this work is to estimate some climatic and economic effects of climate change regard to some important agricultural cultivation in Tuscany: olives, grapevines and wheat.The multidisciplinary approach has allowed the examination of the dynamics of climate and farming yield, and some effects on the profitability of crops. The use of atmospheric models and agronomic models, has allowed the localization of the crops effects that may occur during this century. The subsequent economic evaluation, based on changes in gross farm income, has also generated results that could serve as a contribution towards the estimated impact of global economic impacts of climate change.The proposed framework revealed itself to be an effective tool for climate change impact assessment at a very local scale. Additionally, this approach may be easily extended to testing the effect of different adaptation strategies in terms of management practices (e.g. irrigation) and selection varieties (e.g. longer or shorter cycle, advanced or delayed bud burst).
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