首页    期刊浏览 2024年11月07日 星期四
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Allais, Ellsberg, and preferences for hedging
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Mark Dean ; Mark Dean ; Pietro Ortoleva
  • 期刊名称:Theoretical Economics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1555-7561
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:12
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:377-424
  • DOI:10.3982/TE1960
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Econometric Society
  • 摘要:Two of the most well known regularities observed in preferences under risk and uncertainty are ambiguity aversion and the Allais paradox. We study the behavior of an agent who can display both tendencies simultaneously. We introduce a novel notion of preference for hedging that applies to both objective lotteries and uncertain acts. We show that this axiom, together with other standard ones, is equivalent to a representation in which the agent (i) evaluates ambiguity using multiple priors, as in the model of Gilboa and Schmeidler, 1989, and (ii) evaluates objective lotteries by distorting probabilities, as in the rank dependent utility model, but using the worst from a set of distortions. We show that a preference for hedging is not sufficient to guarantee Ellsberg‐like behavior if the agent violates expected utility for objective lotteries; we provide a novel axiom that characterizes this case, linking the distortions for objective and subjective bets.
  • 关键词:Ambiguity aversion Allais paradox Ellsberg paradox hedging multiple priors subjective mixture probability weighting rank dependent utility D81
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有