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  • 标题:The effects of oil price shocks on real GDP in Iran
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Abbas Rezazadehkarsalari ; Fateme Haghiri ; Alireza Behrooznia
  • 期刊名称:African Journal of Business Management
  • 印刷版ISSN:1993-8233
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:33
  • 页码:3220-3232
  • DOI:10.5897/AJBM12.065
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Academic Journals
  • 摘要:In this paper, the asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on GDP have been investigated by co-integration analysis in Iran economy during the period 1960-2010. We used Hodrick-Prescott filtering to separate positive shocks from negative shocks. The results showed that in long run the negative shocks have stronger effects on output than positive ones that can have damaging repercussions on economic growth. The findings have practical policy implications for decision makers in the area of macroeconomic planning. The use of stabilization and savings funds and diversification of the real sector seems crucial to minimize the harmful effects of oil booms and busts.
  • 关键词:Real GDP; Iran economy; asymmetric effects; oil price shocks
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