摘要:AbstractAccording to World Health Organization (WHO) and Global Burden of Disease, ambient air pollution is estimated to be responsible for 3.7 million premature deaths in 2012 . Therefore, it is urgent to estimate the impact of air pollution on public health and economic damage. The objectives of this research are: study the distribution of PM10concentration over Ho Chi Minh city (HCMC) and relationship to public health and for proposing solutions of diseasesprevention in HCM, Vietnam. EMIssion SENSitivity model was applied to conduct air emission inventory for transportation sector. Then, Finite Volume Model and Transport and Photochemistry Mesoscale Model were used to simulate the meteorology and the spatial distribution of PM10in HCMC. Together with disease data obtained, the US Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Model was applied for calculating the number of deaths and estimating economic losses due to PM10pollution. Finally, solutions to reduce PM10pollution and protect public health are proposed. The results showed that the highest 1-h average concentration of PM10is 240 μg m−3in North Eastern of HCMC. The concentration of PM10for annual average in District 5 ranged from 17 to 49 μg m−3. There are 12 wards of District 5 with PM10concentration exceeding the WHO guidelines (20 μg m−3for annual average of PM10and 50 μg m−3for 24-h average). The high concentration of PM10causes 5 deaths yr−1in District 5 and 204 deaths yr−1in HCMC, and it causes economic losses of 1.84 billion of USD.
关键词:KeywordsenAir pollutionHealth effectsMortalityHo Chi Minh City