期刊名称：Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management
印刷版ISSN：1119-8362
出版年度：2014
卷号：18
期号：1
页码：41-47
DOI：10.4314/jasem.v18i1.6
语种：English
出版社：Department of Pure & Industrial Chemistry, University of Port Harcourt
摘要：The phenomenon of ocean surges and other morphological processes along the Lagos coastline have generated serious public concern on the vulnerability of infrastructures and coastal services along the entire stretch of the Barrier-Lagoon coastline of Lagos State. This study examines Badagry coastal environment inundations that arise from sea level rise. The study uses an iterative GIS-based simulation that mapped area inundated based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change - Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (IPCC –SRES) classification (A1, A1T, B2, A1B and A2) and Locally Oriented Economic Development Scenarios (LOEDS). The results of IPCC-SRES scenario analysis show that area inundated at the high emission and worse case sea level rise is less than 0.13% of the study area while the LOEDS inundation area starts having significant impacts as from 4 meter rise in sea level. Since it is only environmental catastrophism and anthropogenic activities that can attain such serious dimension at local, regional and global scales in sea level, it is recommended that coastal protection infrastructures should be integrated in any major developmental activities
