摘要：Coastal areas are an attractive place to live and/ or to perform community activities, therefore coastal areas are vulnerable to both natural and artificial damage and destruction. This study presents the problem of changes in land cover/land use in coastal areas caused by humans. Rapid environmental change due to population growth will require food, shelter and other infrastructure. The 2010-2015 population growth rate of 1.37% or the population grew 6.86% from 2010. Population growth and industrial development increased demand for housing, roads and industrial infrastructure that encouraged land conversion. Agricultural land is the most converted land. Land use in 2000, for paddy fields area was 120,371 ha (62.83%) and pond area was 4,484 ha (2.34%). In 2015 paddy fields were degraded to 98.462 ha (51.41%), and pond area to 20,839 ha (10.88%). Markov modeling had a correlation of 97.72% "r" square value, indicated this modeling could be done to predict land cover change until 2031. In an effort to optimize irrigation field potential and increase of farmer's income, minapadi system (combined farming/fish kept in the paddy fields) was done by previous monoculture farmers to diversification system agriculture. This pattern could increase the productivity of the land and also could increase the diversity of agricultural produce, increase farmer income, increase soil fertility, and also reduce pest disease in rice plants. The purpose of this study is to model spatial changes in land cover/coastal land use and its effect on rice production, fish paddy field production and fishpond production in coastal habitat.
