摘要：AbstractThis research collects the higher education development data of 102 countries in year 2006, embarks from the view of the gross enrolment ration. It takes the higher education institutions number as its dependent variable for the research model. The research model is obtained by the method of correlation analysis of the higher education development data. The result shows that the elite stage of higher education system is stable. The number of teachers and enrolled students are the primary factors which affects the expansion of university number. The mass stage is chaos, the factors of the population, the school-age population, the teacher count, the school even scale and the expending quantity of university are remarkable correlation. The universal stage is relatively stable because the major effective factor is the teacher counts and the school population.
关键词：Development stages;scale of higher education;impacting factors
