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  • 标题:Modeling Demand for Electric Cars - A Methodical Approach
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Christoph Link ; Christoph Link ; Ulrike Raich
  • 期刊名称:Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences
  • 印刷版ISSN:1877-0428
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:48
  • 页码:1958-1970
  • DOI:10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.06.1169
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Elsevier
  • 摘要:AbstractMost car users lack profound knowledge on electric cars. Feasibility studies concerning electric cars suffer from this fact, because respondents assess advantages and travel behavior restrictions incorrectly. This may result in a discrepancy between survey results and future market development, because consumer's knowledge will increase with time and in upcoming car purchase preparation. The paper presents the approach of a stated preference survey concerning car purchase, which considers several feedback loops and mechanism to guarantee realistic purchase decisions. The survey results fed in a new developed disaggregate model that allows the prediction of the new car market share of electric cars.
  • 关键词:Electric cars;stated preference survey;methodical aspects;multinomial logit approach;demand prediction
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