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  • 标题:Safety Performance Function for Motorways using Generalized Estimation Equations
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Salvatore Cafiso ; Salvatore Cafiso ; Carmelo D’Agostino
  • 期刊名称:Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences
  • 印刷版ISSN:1877-0428
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:53
  • 页码:900-909
  • DOI:10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.09.939
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Elsevier
  • 摘要:AbstractAccident prediction models (APMs) are useful tools for estimating the expected number of crashes over a road network which are typically used in the screening of sites with promise for safety improvements. This study shows a procedure of analysis for motorways network offering a comparison between the conventional analytical techniques based on GLM (Generalized Linear Model) and a different approach based on GEE (General Estimating Equation). The GEE model, incorporating the time trend, is compared in terms of results and reliability in the estimation with conventional models (GLM) that do not take into account the temporal correlation of accident data.
  • 关键词:Safety Performance Function;Generalized Estimation Equation;Generalized Linear Model
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