摘要：AbstractAiming at the problem that the prediction of transport structure doesn’t have enough accuracy, in this paper the influence factors of transport structure were determined, and the transport structure of the future characteristics year was predicted. The results show that: In this model, the average error of the freighter model and the passenger model is less than 2%; In the Logit model, the average error of the freighter model and the passenger model is more than 5%. So the error of the predictive method is smaller than that of the Logit model.
