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  • 标题:Wild Cards in Polish Foresight Practice
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Anna Kononiuk ; Anna Kononiuk ; Andrzej Magruk
  • 期刊名称:Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences
  • 印刷版ISSN:1877-0428
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 卷号:213
  • 页码:951-956
  • DOI:10.1016/j.sbspro.2015.11.510
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Elsevier
  • 摘要:AbstractThe main purpose of the article is to introduce a new methodology for improved intelligence on wild cards (low- predictability, high impact events) identification. The research process embraced such research methods as literature review, survey research, the method of critical analysis and construction identification, and a case study which served as an example of a practical application of the designed methodology A detailed characteristic of the new methodology implementation is presented on the basis of a technology foresight project titledNT FOR Podlaskie 2020. Regional strategy of nanotechnology development.In the course of this project, eight wild cards have been finally indicated (out of 53 suggested by the experts). Their originality, importance, pace of change, range of impact, uncertainty of result and time of occurrence have been evaluated and recommendations for science, business and administration have been made. The methodology may be used as a benchmark of wild cards identification in the strategic management practice.
  • 关键词:Wild cards;Foresight;Strategic management;Nanotechnology;NT FOR Podlaskie 2020
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