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  • 标题:Long-term impact of antiretroviral strategies for a functional HIV cure: A virtual clinical trial ⁎
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Esteban A. Hernandez–Vargas ; Javier Martinez-Picado ; Gustavo Hernandez–Mejia
  • 期刊名称:IFAC PapersOnLine
  • 印刷版ISSN:2405-8963
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:51
  • 期号:27
  • 页码:80-85
  • DOI:10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.11.663
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Elsevier
  • 摘要:AbstractThe long-term benefit of combinatorial antiretroviral therapy (cART), as well as new therapeutic strategies, remain unknown. In this paper, mathematical modeling is employed not as a quantitative recapitulation of clinical data but as a tool to progress knowledge of a functional cure on the basis of Monte Carlo simulations as “virtual clinical trials”. Considering that optimal cART is maintained about 50 years, simulations results suggested that about 50% simulation cases would be under detection levels (functional HIV cure). In addition, numerical results highlighted that the most effective time window for initiating cART is during the first month post-infection, giving about 89% of simulation cases with a functional cure after a ten-year-period of optimal cART.
  • 关键词:KeywordsMonte Carlo simulationsHIV curereservoirsvirtual clinical trials
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