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  • 标题:The use of foresight in technical systems
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Sergey Nikitin ; Arthur Novikov ; Tatyana Novikova
  • 期刊名称:MATEC Web of Conferences
  • 电子版ISSN:2261-236X
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 卷号:265
  • DOI:10.1051/matecconf/201926502021
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:EDP Sciences
  • 摘要:The study is intended for engineers designing technical systems. The analytic hierarchy process was used as the main tool of foresight. Nowadays, some experience in the design of technical systems is accumulated. However, in most cases, designers have to sort through all possible factors and parameters of devices. The involvement of experts will reduce the time range of research. The research results show a high Kendall’s coefficient of concordance 0.738. Research materials will allow planning experiments only with the most important factors. This will adjust the protocols for testing new technical systems and significantly reduce costs.
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