期刊名称：Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
电子版ISSN：1600-0870
出版年度：2015
卷号：67
页码：1-17
DOI：10.3402/tellusa.v67.26045
语种：English
摘要：The Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD)-based ensemble four-dimensional variational (4DVar) assimilation method (referred to as PODEn4DVar) is a hybrid assimilation method that exploits the strengths of both the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and the 4DVar assimilation method. Its feasibility and validity have been demonstrated using ideal models through observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs). In this study, we further utilise this approach to build a PODEn4DVar-based radar data assimilation scheme (PRAS). In a PRAS, radar observations including radial velocity and reflectivity, after some necessary data preprocessing, are assimilated directly to improve model initialisation. A group of single-observation-based OSSEs are first designed to generally evaluate the validity of PRAS. Subsequently, a group of comparison experiments are also carried out between PRAS and an LETKF-based radar assimilation scheme (LRAS), which shows that PRAS is able to produce results better than (at least as good as) LRAS. Thirdly, to evaluate the potential impact for PRAS in the operational context, a group of cycling assimilation experiments of radar data are performed, which demonstrates that PRAS can gradually improve the accuracy of analysis field by cycling assimilation. Finally, a heavy convective-rainfall case study was selected to investigate the performance of PRAS in assimilating real radar observations and the impacts of assimilating radar observations on numerical forecasts, with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model as our forecasting model. The results show that significant improvements in predicting heavy rainfall can be achieved due to the improved initial conditions for the convective system's dynamics and microphysics after assimilating the radar observations with PRAS. In summary, the results show that the PODEn4DVar is a promising method for atmospheric data assimilation.
关键词：PODEn4Dvar; single-observation; radar data assimilation; WRF; heavy rainfall
