期刊名称:Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics
印刷版ISSN:2080-0886
电子版ISSN:2080-119X
出版年度:2015
期号:1
页码:169-186
语种:English
出版社:Polska Akademia Nauk
摘要:We discuss the notion of the financial cycle making a clear indication that the thorough study of its empirical properties in case of developing economies is still missing. We focus on the observed series of credit and equity and make formal statistical inference about the properties of the cycles in case of Polish economy. The non-standard subsampling procedure and discrete spectral characteristics of almost periodically correlated time series are applied to make formal statistical inference about the cycle. We compare the results with those obtained for UK and USA. We extract the cyclical component and confront empirical properties of the financial cycle for small open economy with those established so far in case of developed economies.
关键词:financial cycle; business cycle; discrete spectral analysis; APC