期刊名称：Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering
印刷版ISSN：1346-7581
电子版ISSN：1347-2852
出版年度：2016
卷号：15
期号：3
页码：441-446
DOI：10.3130/jaabe.15.441
语种：English
出版社：日本建築学会、大韓建築学会、中国建築学会
摘要：The amount of risk and the occurrence of damage in construction projects have increased as construction projects are becoming larger and more complex, increasing the demands for an effective risk assessment model. Therefore, quantitative risk analysis is needed to develop a financial risk assessment model using the risk indicators for construction projects. To address this need, authors analyzed the damage records of actual construction sites in South Korea, in order to identify the critical risk factors of damage and investigate the relationships among the risk indicators to develop a loss prediction model. Authors used claim payout records from an insurance company to reflect real financial loss as the dependent variable. As independent variables, authors adopted four risk categories based on our literature review and data analysis: natural hazards, geographic information, construction method and ability, and construction information. Our loss prediction model for construction projects, along with our findings, offers fundamental guidelines for construction companies, construction project owners, and insurance companies hoping to model and predict financial loss for building construction projects.
关键词：building construction;damage cause analysis;loss ratio;claim payouts;loss prediction model
