期刊名称：International Journal of Economics and Finance
印刷版ISSN：1916-971X
电子版ISSN：1916-9728
出版年度：2019
卷号：11
期号：11
页码：1-11
DOI：10.5539/ijef.v11n11p1
语种：English
出版社：Canadian Center of Science and Education
摘要：Direct real estate returns are correlated with shifts in weather patterns, which are proxied by changes in four moments of distribution for differences in average and maximum daily temperatures, deviations from optimal temperatures and climate risk index reported by Germanwatch. Changes in the volatility of daily temperatures are inversely correlated with direct real estate returns. The volatility effect appeared to be marginal in 1996-2007, but it became more pronounced in 2010-2017. Other moments of the distribution, including changes in means, skewness and kurtosis, fail to obtain predictive power. Results are robust to tests in a smaller sample of capital cities and the exclusion of observations with the most significant volatility increases.
关键词：climate change; direct real estate; residential real estate; moments of distribution; volatility;
temperature
