期刊名称：International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics
电子版ISSN：2148-9173
出版年度：2019
卷号：6
期号：3
页码：254-263
DOI：10.30897/ijegeo.641434
语种：English
出版社：IJEGEO
摘要：World Economy has been globalizing faster then ever as aresult of the technological evolution. Increase of global trade brings the needof higher transportation capacity as bigger ships and port facilities. Portconstruction and expansion investments can be said to be supply to meet demand.Maritime safety is one of the factors affecting the zoning plan approvalprocess in the port construction and extension investments. These factorsmostly caused by the ship maneuver. One of the most widely used models is theEnvironmental Stress (ES) Model in risk assessment of navigation and shipmaneuver.ES Model measures the risk occurring around the shipduring the berthing / unberthing maneuvers performed in the simulationenvironment with the ports and ships that are modeled similar to the portproject. But, it is not certain which parameter of the port project will berevised such as ship tonnageand length of the ship, port form and size etc. Themain benefit of this study is taking precaution with measuring risk byspecifying the risk factors and their weights using both ES Model and fuzzylogic method. Thus, the development plan and project evaluation process, whichis under the duty and responsibility of the Turkish Ministry of Transport, willbe carried out in terms of safety with the method proposed in this study.Another important contribution of this study is its originalty in terms ofclarification of raw outputs of ES model reports by using fuzzy logic method inscientific literature.So, the revised port project will be realized byproviding maritime safety. While port projects are approved by the Ministry ofTransport within the scope of the legislation that determines the port planningprocess in question, the evaluation of Modeling Reports with fuzzy logic methodwill contribute to both fast and safe project design process.
关键词：ES (Environmental Stress) model; fuzzy logic; risk assessment; port planning
