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  • 标题:Scalable methods for Bayesian selective inference
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Snigdha Panigrahi ; Jonathan Taylor
  • 期刊名称:Electronic Journal of Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1935-7524
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:12
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:2355-2400
  • DOI:10.1214/18-EJS1452
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Institute of Mathematical Statistics
  • 摘要:Modeled along the truncated approach in [20], selection-adjusted inference in a Bayesian regime is based on a selective posterior. Such a posterior is determined together by a generative model imposed on data and the selection event that enforces a truncation on the assumed law. The effective difference between the selective posterior and the usual Bayesian framework is reflected in the use of a truncated likelihood. The normalizer of the truncated law in the adjusted framework is the probability of the selection event; this typically lacks a closed form expression leading to the computational bottleneck in sampling from such a posterior. The current work provides an optimization problem that approximates the otherwise intractable selective posterior and leads to scalable methods that give valid post-selective Bayesian inference. The selection procedures are posed as data-queries that solve a randomized version of a convex learning program which have the advantage of preserving more left-over information for inference.
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