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  • 标题:Relevant change points in high dimensional time series
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Holger Dette ; Josua Gösmann
  • 期刊名称:Electronic Journal of Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1935-7524
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:12
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:2578-2636
  • DOI:10.1214/18-EJS1464
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Institute of Mathematical Statistics
  • 摘要:This paper investigates the problem of detecting relevant change points in the mean vector, say $\mu_{t}=(\mu_{t,1},\ldots ,\mu_{t,d})^{T}$ of a high dimensional time series $(Z_{t})_{t\in \mathbb{Z}}$. While the recent literature on testing for change points in this context considers hypotheses for the equality of the means $\mu_{h}^{(1)}$ and $\mu_{h}^{(2)}$ before and after the change points in the different components, we are interested in a null hypothesis of the form \begin{equation*}H_{0}:|\mu^{(1)}_{h}-\mu^{(2)}_{h}|\leq \Delta_{h}~~~\mbox{ forall }~~h=1,\ldots ,d\end{equation*} where $\Delta_{1},\ldots ,\Delta_{d}$ are given thresholds for which a smaller difference of the means in the $h$-th component is considered to be non-relevant. This formulation of the testing problem is motivated by the fact that in many applications a modification of the statistical analysis might not be necessary, if the differences between the parameters before and after the change points in the individual components are small. This problem is of particular relevance in high dimensional change point analysis, where a small change in only one component can yield a rejection by the classical procedure although all components change only in a non-relevant way.
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