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  • 标题:Bayes linear analysis of risks in sequential optimal design problems
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Matthew Jones ; Michael Goldstein ; Philip Jonathan
  • 期刊名称:Electronic Journal of Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1935-7524
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:12
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:4002-4031
  • DOI:10.1214/18-EJS1496
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Institute of Mathematical Statistics
  • 摘要:In a statistical or physical model, it is often the case that a set of design inputs must be selected in order to perform an experiment to collect data with which to update beliefs about a set of model parameters; frequently, the model also depends on a set of external variables which are unknown before the experiment is carried out, but which cannot be controlled. Sequential optimal design problems are concerned with selecting these design inputs in stages (at different points in time), such that the chosen design is optimal with respect to the set of possible outcomes of all future experiments which might be carried out. Such problems are computationally expensive.
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