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  • 标题:Identifying past social-ecological thresholds to understand long-term temporal dynamics in Spain
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Fernando Santos-Martín ; Blanca González García-Mon ; José A. González
  • 期刊名称:Ecology and Society
  • 印刷版ISSN:1708-3087
  • 电子版ISSN:1708-3087
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 卷号:24
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:10
  • DOI:10.5751/ES-10734-240210
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:The Resilience Alliance
  • 摘要:A thorough understanding of long-term temporal social-ecological dynamics at the national scale helps to explain the current condition of a country's ecosystems and to support environmental policies to tackle future sustainability challenges. We aimed to develop a methodological approach to understand past long-term (1960-2010) social-ecological dynamics in Spain. First, we developed a methodical framework that allowed us to explore complex social-ecological dynamics among biodiversity, ecosystem services, human well-being, drivers of change, and institutional responses. Second, we compiled 21 long-term, national-scale indicators and analyzed their temporal relationships through a redundancy analysis. Third, we used a Bayesian change point analysis to detect evidence of past social-ecological thresholds and historical time periods. Our results revealed that Spain has passed through four social-ecological thresholds that define five different time periods of nature and society relationships. Finally, we discussed how the proposed methodological approach helps to reinterpret national-level ecosystem indicators through a new conceptual lens to develop a more systems-based way of understanding long-term social-ecological patterns and dynamics.
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