摘要：Research on the variation of soil infiltration is helpful to analyze the mechanism of soil water movement in farmland. At the same time, soil infiltration characteristics affect the surface irrigation. Based on the field test data, this study simulated and analyzed the soil infiltration with three soil infiltration models (Kostiakov-Lewis model, Philip model and Horton model). The infiltration uncertainty of farmland soil are investigated, and proposed by using two random simulation methods (direct method and parameter mean method) of infiltration. The evaluated indicators are the interval size and its stability of cumulative infiltration amount changed with 95% confidence. The effects of different random simulations methods and three models on the infiltration process are compared and analyzed. Finally, the model and stochastic simulation method suitable for the infiltration characteristics of the farmland are determined. The results show that the correlation coefficients of the three models are all above 0.98, and there is no significant difference in fitting accuracy. In terms of the degree of spatial uncertainty (determined by standard deviation): direct method > parameter mean method, in which the combination of the Kostiakov-Lewis model and the parameter mean method have less uncertainty, and the combined simulation effect is better, it is more suitable for the simulation of soil infiltration at farmland scale.
