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  • 标题:The Balassa-Samuelson effect reversed: new evidence from OECD countries
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Matthias Gubler ; Christoph Sax
  • 期刊名称:Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics
  • 电子版ISSN:2235-6282
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 卷号:155
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:1-21
  • DOI:10.1186/s41937-019-0029-3
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Springer
  • 摘要:This paper reconsiders the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis. We analyze an OECD country panel from 1970 to 2008 and compare three data sets on sectoral productivity, including newly constructed data on total factor productivity. Overall, our within- and between-dimension estimation results do not support the BS hypothesis. For the time since the mid-1980s, we find a robust negative relationship between productivity in the tradable sector and the real exchange rate, even after including the terms of trade to control for the effects of the home bias. Earlier, supportive findings may depend on the choice of the data set and the model specification.
  • 关键词:Real exchange rate;Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis;Panel data estimation;Terms of trade
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