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  • 标题:Method of moments estimators for the extremal index of a stationary time series
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Axel Bücher ; Tobias Jennessen
  • 期刊名称:Electronic Journal of Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1935-7524
  • 出版年度:2020
  • 卷号:14
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:3103-3156
  • DOI:10.1214/20-EJS1734
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Institute of Mathematical Statistics
  • 摘要:The extremal index $\theta $, a number in the interval $[0,1]$, is known to be a measure of primal importance for analyzing the extremes of a stationary time series. New rank-based estimators for $\theta $ are proposed which rely on the construction of approximate samples from the exponential distribution with parameter $\theta $ that is then to be fitted via the method of moments. The new estimators are analyzed both theoretically as well as empirically through a large-scale simulation study. In specific scenarios, in particular for time series models with $\theta \approx 1$, they are found to be superior to recent competitors from the literature.
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