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  • 标题:Managing Meteorological Risk through Expected Shortfall
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Silvana Stefani ; Gleda Kutrolli ; Enrico Moretto
  • 期刊名称:Risks
  • 印刷版ISSN:2227-9091
  • 出版年度:2020
  • 卷号:8
  • 期号:118
  • 页码:118
  • DOI:10.3390/risks8040118
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:MDPI, Open Access Journal
  • 摘要:This paper focuses on weather derivatives as efficient risk management instruments and proposes a more advanced approach for their pricing. An “hybrid” contract is introduced, combining insurance properties, specifically tailored for the region under study and introducing Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) as appropriate measures for the strike price. The numerical results show that VaR and ES are both efficient ways for managing the so-called Tail Risk; further, being ES more conservative than VaR and due to its subadditivity property, it can be seen that seasonal contracts are generally better off than monthly contracts in reducing global risk.
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