期刊名称:Advances in Mathematical Finance and Applications
印刷版ISSN:2538-5569
电子版ISSN:2645-4610
出版年度:2019
卷号:4
期号:2
页码:43-64
DOI:10.22034/amfa.2019.584793.1180
语种:English
出版社:Islamic Azad University of Arak
摘要:One of the main concerns of investors is the evaluation of the return on investment, which is conducted using various models such as the CAPM (single-factor model), Fama-French three/five-factor models, and Roy and Shijin’s six-factor model and other models known as multi-factor models. Despite the widespread use of these models, their major drawbacks include sensitivity to unexpected changes, sudden shocks, high turbulence of price bubble, and so on. To eliminate such negatives, the multi-factor model using the penalty function method is used, in which, instead of averaging, the optimization and avoidance of the effects of abnormal changes and other factors affecting the capital market are considered. In order to evaluate stock returns, it is possible to select effective factors, to simulate and develop a model appropriate to the conditions governing the capital market in Iran. In the present study, by forming portfolios of investments and identifying and refining effective factors, the classification and estimation of the hybrid model of penalty and multi-factor (P & PCA) functions were performed based on the functional data during 2007-2017. The results of this study indicated that the extensive use of the simulation algorithm for the penalty function in the form of P & PCA estimation method improves the efficiency of multi-factor methods in stock return evaluation, and that the use of the hybrid algorithm of penalty and multi-factor functions, compared to the exclusive use of multi-factor models, brings a higher accuracy in estimating stock returns.