摘要：In order to analyze the impact of large-scale photovoltaic system on the power system, a photovoltaic output prediction method considering the correlation is proposed and the optimal power flow is calculated. Firstly, establish a photovoltaic output model to obtain the attenuation coefficient and fluctuation amount, and analyze the correlation among the multiple photovoltaic power plants through the k-means method. Secondly, the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network is used as the photovoltaic output prediction model, and the clustered photovoltaic output data is brought into the LSTM model to generate large-scale photovoltaic prediction results with the consideration of the spatial correlation. And an optimal power flow model that takes grid loss and voltage offset as targets is established. Finally, MATLAB is used to verify that the proposed large-scale photovoltaic forecasting method has higher accuracy. The multi-objective optimal power flow calculation is performed based on the NSGA-II algorithm and the modified IEEE systems, and the optimal power flow with photovoltaic output at different times is compared and analyzed.
