摘要：The ongoing climate change over Central and Southeast Europe has agreat potential to affect significantly the public energy demands and in particular theenergy consumption in the residential heating and cooling sector. The linkage of theambient daily extreme and mean temperatures and the energy needs for condition orheat buildings can be quantified as numerical indicators as the heating and coolingdegree-days. In the present study, these indicators are calculated according the UKMet Office methodology from the daily mean and extreme temperatures, which, inturn, are computed from the output of the MESCAN-SURFEX system in the frame theFP7 UERRA project. The study, which is performed in a very high resolution, isdedicated on the analysis of the spatial patterns as well as assessment of themagnitude and statistical significance of the temporal evolution of the heating andcooling degree-days. It reveals general tendencies which are coherent with theregional climate warming, but with high spatial heterogeneities. The study confirmsthe essential impact of the ongoing climate change on the heating, ventilating andair-conditioning industry over Central and Southeast Europe.
