期刊名称：IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
印刷版ISSN：1755-1307
电子版ISSN：1755-1315
出版年度：2020
卷号：619
期号：1
DOI：10.1088/1755-1315/619/1/012065
语种：English
出版社：IOP Publishing
摘要：The emerging industries are usually driven by innovations and represent the development directions of advanced economic. Particularly, this manuscript explores the innovation diffusion and S-Curve theoriesto study emerging industries which are characterized with rapid demand variations, where the new energy vehicle industry serves as an example. The S-Curve is deduced in detail as a theoretical foundation for the study of the rapid demand changes of emerging industries. Base on authority data of vehicle sales in past decades, the NPS and EV30@30 scenarios from IEA are analysed to reveal the worldwide trend of electric vehicle industry. And as the largest market of new energy vehicles in the world, Chinese electric vehicle industry exhibits obvious impetus of government policies on the market development, and foresees a significant penetration of electric vehicles into traditional transportation sector in near future.
