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  • 标题:Prediction of Financial Health of BusinessEntities of Selected Sector Using BalanceAnalysis II. by Rudolf Doucha and Verificationof Its Predictive Ability through ROC
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Dusan Karpac ; Viera Bartosova
  • 期刊名称:SHS Web of Conferences
  • 印刷版ISSN:2416-5182
  • 电子版ISSN:2261-2424
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 卷号:91
  • 页码:1-6
  • DOI:10.1051/shsconf/20219101006
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:EDP Sciences
  • 摘要:Forecasting business failure is a worldwide known term, in a global notion, and there is a lot of prediction models constructed to compute financial health of a company and, by that, state whether a company inclines to financial boom or bankruptcy. A healthy financial management of a business entity is very important for the proper operation of the business, and it is therefore very important to know how to assess financial health and to anticipate possible problems that will be easier to eliminate in advance. Globalized prediction models compute financial health of companies, but the vast majority of models predicting business failure are constructed solely for the conditions of a particular country or even just for a specific sector of a national economy. Predictive models can indicate whether an entity tends to prosper or bankruptcy, and so we can assess the financial health of the business. This paper provides a description of the balance analysis II. by Rudolf Doucha, discusses its application to a sample of 266 Slovak subjects and points to its prediction in the given field. The verification of the ability to forecast bankruptcy or financial stability has been evaluated through ROC analysis.
  • 关键词:Specificity;Financial prediction;ROC curve;AUC
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