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  • 标题:Does the Aging Population Become a Constraint to the Growth of Turkish Economy? New Evidence from Time Series Analysis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Eyyup ECEVİT ; Murat ÇETİN ; Özge YILDIZ
  • 期刊名称:Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
  • 印刷版ISSN:1301-3688
  • 电子版ISSN:2630-6409
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 期号:58
  • 页码:367-398
  • DOI:10.18070/erciyesiibd.871710
  • 语种:Turkish
  • 出版社:Erciyes University
  • 摘要:This study deals with the relationship between population aging and economic growth in Turkey during 1970-2018 and includes domestic savings, consumption expenditures, and financial development in the growth specification as additional variables. The Johansen and ARDL bounds test for cointegration analysis were used. Moreover, DOLS and CCR estimators were used to estimate the long-run coefficients. The VECM causality procedure was employed for causality analysis. The findings revealed that the variables are cointegrated. The findings showed that population aging, and financial development negatively affected economic growth while domestic savings and consumption expenditures were positively related to economic growth in the long-run. The findings also indicated that bidirectional causality exists between all the independent variables and economic growth in the long-run. Therefore, this study can provide several policy implications to speed economic growth in the Turkish economy.
  • 关键词:Nüfus yaşlanması;ekonomik büyüme;ARDL;nedensellik testi;Türkiye
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