期刊名称：Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
印刷版ISSN：0027-8424
电子版ISSN：1091-6490
出版年度：2015
卷号：112
期号：11
页码：E1326-E1332
DOI：10.1073/pnas.1414261112
语种：English
出版社：The National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
摘要：SignificanceAcross ecology, and particularly within microbial ecology, there is limited understanding of the mechanisms governing the relative influences of stochastic and deterministic processes. Filling this knowledge gap is a major challenge that requires the development of novel conceptual paradigms, experiments, and ecological models. Here we (i) present a conceptual model that couples the stochastic/deterministic balance to primary and secondary ecological succession, thereby integrating previously isolated conceptual domains; (ii) evaluate this model over 105 years of ecosystem development, revealing a systematic shift in the type and strength of ecological selection; and (iii) couple empirical data with a new simulation model to elucidate underlying mechanisms and characterize their scale dependency. The insights and conceptual framework provided here represent a nexus for cross-system integration. Ecological succession and the balance between stochastic and deterministic processes are two major themes within microbial ecology, but these conceptual domains have mostly developed independent of each other. Here we provide a framework that integrates shifts in community assembly processes with microbial primary succession to better understand mechanisms governing the stochastic/deterministic balance. Synthesizing previous work, we devised a conceptual model that links ecosystem development to alternative hypotheses related to shifts in ecological assembly processes. Conceptual model hypotheses were tested by coupling spatiotemporal data on soil bacterial communities with environmental conditions in a salt marsh chronosequence spanning 105 years of succession. Analyses within successional stages showed community composition to be initially governed by stochasticity, but as succession proceeded, there was a progressive increase in deterministic selection correlated with increasing sodium concentration. Analyses of community turnover among successional stages--which provide a larger spatiotemporal scale relative to within stage analyses--revealed that changes in the concentration of soil organic matter were the main predictor of the type and relative influence of determinism. Taken together, these results suggest scale-dependency in the mechanisms underlying selection. To better understand mechanisms governing these patterns, we developed an ecological simulation model that revealed how changes in selective environments cause shifts in the stochastic/deterministic balance. Finally, we propose an extended--and experimentally testable--conceptual model integrating ecological assembly processes with primary and secondary succession. This framework provides a priori hypotheses for future experiments, thereby facilitating a systematic approach to understand assembly and succession in microbial communities across ecosystems.
关键词：community assembly ; neutral theory ; niche theory ; simulation model ; evolutionary niche conservatism
