摘要：Maps have been used widely to communicate election results and voter turnout. This article presents a practical approach to extracting and assembling the profiles of Hong Kong voters in the 2004 Legislative Council Election. It describes the use of modelling functions in a geographic information system to augment the examination of demographic and socio-economic constructs of voters and their voting behaviours. Voter profiles were used as predictors in forecasting election results. The predictive power of our model was assessed through visual and qualitative comparison with actual results of the election. The comparison showed that both maps exhibited similar patterns.
关键词：election mapping;geographic information systems;predictive modelling;voter behaviours
