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  • 标题:An estimation of the hybrid Phillips curve for Brazil in the inflation targeting regime
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Divanildo Triches ; Flavio Tosi Feijó
  • 期刊名称:Economia Aplicada
  • 印刷版ISSN:1413-8050
  • 电子版ISSN:1980-5330
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:21
  • 期号:1
  • DOI:10.11606/1413-8050/ea150953
  • 语种:Portuguese
  • 出版社:Economia Aplicada
  • 摘要:The aim of this paper is to investigate the dynamics of inflation in Brazil between 2000-IV to 2014-II, through the hybrid Phillips Curve approach. This econometric specification allows evaluating the forward looking and backward looking terms. The models were estimated by ARDL method and the results showed that the inclusion of unit labor cost as a proxy for economic activity generated a better fit in the estimation of the Phillips curve. The expectation of inflation has dominance in determining the dynamics of the Brazilian inflation. There is still an inertial component given by the rigidity of prices due to the indexation of several contracts and government managed prices.
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