摘要：The long-term stability analysis of cutoff wall affected by construction effect is crucial. The longterm stability of the cutoff wall of Daning Reservoir is mainly affected by the combined action of highway vehicle load, extreme highway load and water load under different water storage loads. In this paper, the prediction model and method of grey theory are used to predict the horizontal displacement at the top of the cutoff wall, the settlement at the top, the maximum principal stress of the reinforced concrete wall, and the maximum principal stress of the plastic concrete wall based on grey analysis with each storage and drainage cycle as the time series point combined with the actual situation of the project. The long-term stability of the cutoff wall under load is predicted and evaluated. The results show that the maximum stress of the monitoring 2 – 2 section cutoff wall gradually tend to be stable during the whole storage and drainage cycle. The limit maximum compressive stress of reinforced concrete wall is 4.320 MPa, and the limit maximum compressive stress of plastic concrete wall is 1.758 MPa. Judging from the material strength, the maximum principal stress is within the design strength of the material, and the plastic failure of the wall does not occur, indicating that the combined anti-seepage system of rigid cutoff wall and plastic cutoff wall adopted by the Daning Reservoir is stable and safe in the later normal operation period.
