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  • 标题:Multi-Period Disaggregated Economic Modelling: Do We Need It? Can We Do It?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Peter B. Dixon
  • 期刊名称:Economic Analysis and Policy
  • 印刷版ISSN:0313-5926
  • 出版年度:1990
  • 卷号:20
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:55-71
  • DOI:10.1016/S0313-5926(90)50004-1
  • 出版社:Elsevier B.V.
  • 摘要:Abstract The main disaggregated model of the Australian economy is ORANI. This paper briefly reviews {ORANI} applications since the mid 1970s, It then draws attention to the treatment in {ORANI} of time. Because {ORANI} is a one-period model, it provides an inadequate treatment of variables depending on forward-looking expectations. Nor is it an effective framework for handling embodied technological change, dated capital stocks and indivisibilities. It is argued that it is now both feasible and important to build a multi-period, disaggregated model for use in Australia in the 1990s and beyond.
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