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  • 标题:Rating global magnetosphere model simulations through statistical data-model comparisons
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:A. J. Ridley ; D. L. De Zeeuw ; L. Rastätter
  • 期刊名称:Space Weather
  • 印刷版ISSN:1542-7390
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:14
  • 期号:10
  • 页码:819-834
  • DOI:10.1002/2016SW001465
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:American Geophysical Union
  • 摘要:The Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) was created in 2000 to allow researchers to remotely run simulations and explore the results through online tools. Since that time, over 10,000 simulations have been conducted at CCMC through their runs-on-request service. Many of those simulations have been event studies using global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models of the magnetosphere. All of these simulations are available to the general public to explore and utilize. Many of these simulations have had virtual satellites flown through the model to extract the simulation results at the satellite location as a function of time. This study used 662 of these magnetospheric simulations, with a total of 2503 satellite traces, to statistically compare the magnetic field simulated by models to the satellite data. Ratings for each satellite trace were created by comparing the root-mean-square error of the trace with all of the other traces for the given satellite and magnetic field component. The 1–5 ratings, with 5 being the best quality run, are termed “stars.” From these star ratings, a few conclusions were made: (1) Simulations tend to have a lower rating for higher levels of activity; (2) there was a clear bias in the Bz component of the simulations at geosynchronous orbit, implying that the models were challenged in simulating the inner magnetospheric dynamics correctly; and (3) the highest performing model included a coupled ring current model, which was about 0.15 stars better on average than the same model without the ring current model coupling.
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