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  • 标题:Evaluating predictions of ICME arrival at Earth and Mars
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:T. V. Falkenberg ; A. Taktakishvili ; A. Pulkkinen
  • 期刊名称:Space Weather
  • 印刷版ISSN:1542-7390
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 卷号:9
  • 期号:9
  • 页码:1-25
  • DOI:10.1029/2011SW000682
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:American Geophysical Union
  • 摘要:We present a study of interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) propagation to Earth and Mars. Because of the significant space weather hazard posed by ICMEs, understanding and predicting their arrival and impact at Mars is important for current and future robotic and manned missions to the planet. We compare running ENLILv2.6 with coronal mass ejection (CME) input parameters from both a manual and an automated method. We analyze shock events identified at Mars in Mars Global Surveyor data in 2001 and 2003, when Earth and Mars were separated by RS improves the match to observations, mainly because the speed found by the automated method is underestimated. The time lapse between the shock arrival at Earth and Mars, for the events studied here, is shorter than expected from simulations, and the presence of high speed streams can enable an ICME to arrive almost simultaneously at Earth and Mars. This work will be applied to improve the input parameter methods for ENLIL.
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