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  • 标题:Exploring the potential relationship between the occurrence of debris flow and landslides
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Liang, Zhu ; Wang, Changming ; Ma, Donghe
  • 期刊名称:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
  • 电子版ISSN:2195-9269
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 卷号:21
  • 期号:4
  • 页码:1247-1262
  • DOI:10.5194/nhess-21-1247-2021
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Copernicus Publications
  • 摘要:The present study is to explore the potential relationship between debris flow and landslides by establishing susceptibility zoning maps (SZMs) separately with the use of random forest (RF). Lhünzê county, located in southeastern Tibet, was selected as the study area. The work was carried out with the following steps: (1) an inventory map consisting of 399 landslides and 49 debris flows was determined; (2) slope units and 11 conditioning factors were prepared for the susceptibility modeling of landslide while watershed units and 12 factors were prepared for debris flow; (3) SZMs were constructed for landslide and debris flow, respectively, with the use of RF; (4) the performance of two models was evaluated by 5-fold cross-validation using receiver operating characteristic (ROC), area under the curve (AUC) and statistical measures; (5) the potential relationship between landslide and debris flow was explored by the superimposition of two zoning maps; (6) the Gini index was applied to determine the major factorsand analyze the difference between debris flow and landslides; (7) a combined susceptibility map with two considered hazardous phenomena wasobtained. Two used models had demonstrated great predictive capabilities, with an accuracy of 87.33 % and 85.17 % and AUC of 0.902 and 0.892, respectively. Comparing the overlap of different susceptibility classes for two obtained maps, it was concluded that there is no straightforward relationship between the occurrence of debris flow and landslides. Although most landslides can be converted into debris flow, the area prone to debris flow did not promote the occurrence of a landslide. A susceptibility zoning map composed of two or more hazardous phenomena is comprehensive and significant in this regard, which provides a valuable reference for research studies of disaster-chain and engineering applications.
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