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  • 标题:Assessing local impacts of the 1700CE Cascadia earthquake and tsunami using tree-ring growth histories: a case study in South Beach, Oregon, USA
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Dziak, Robert P. ; Black, Bryan A. ; Wei, Yong
  • 期刊名称:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
  • 电子版ISSN:2195-9269
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 卷号:21
  • 期号:6
  • 页码:1971-1982
  • DOI:10.5194/nhess-21-1971-2021
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Copernicus Publications
  • 摘要:We present an investigation of the disturbance history of an old-growth Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) stand in South Beach, Oregon, for possible growth changes due to tsunami inundation caused by the 1700 CE Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) earthquake. A high-resolution model of the 1700 tsunami run-up heights at South Beach, assuming an “L”-sized earthquake, is also presented to better estimate the inundation levels several kilometers inland at the old-growth site. This tsunami model indicates the South Beach fir stand would have been subjected to local inundation depths from 0 to 10 m. Growth chronologies collected from the Douglas-fir stand shows that trees experienced a significant growth reductions in the year 1700 relative to nearby Douglas-fir stands, consistent with the tsunami inundation estimates. The ±1–3-year timing of the South Beach disturbances are also consistent with disturbances previously observed at a Washington state coastal forest ∼220 km to the north. Moreover, the 1700 South Beach growth reductions were not the largest over the >321-year tree chronology at this location, with otherdisturbances likely caused by climate drivers (e.g., drought or windstorms). Our study represents a first step in using tree growth history to ground truth tsunami inundation models by providing site-specific physical evidence.
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