摘要：The spread of COVID-19 around the entire world has placed humankind in an unprecedentedsituation. Because of the rise of the number of cases and its subsequent load on the organizations and wellbeing experts, some immediate strategies are required to envision thenumber of cases in the future. In this article, the authors have presented two data-drivenestimation techniques, namely, Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) andLong Short-Term Memory(LSTM) for prediction of the cumulative number of COVID-19 casesand the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19. Various measures of goodness of fitsuch as Akaike Information Criteria(AIC), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and RootMean Square Error(RMSE) are computed for the ARIMA model.For LSTM, two parameterssuch as Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) arecomputed.80% of the available data are used to create the model and the remaining 20% areused for testing.The predicted and actual figures are compared to test the prediction accuracy.This article aims to aid India, Italy, Japan, Spain, the UK, and the US administration by providing a statistical tool to predict the future figures of upcoming suspected and death casesbecause of COVID-19.
