摘要：AbstractMechanical ventilation (MV) is used in the intensive care unit (ICU) to treat patients with respiratory failure. However, MV settings are not standardized due to significant inter- and intra- patient variability in response to care, leading to variability in care, outcome, and cost. There is thus a need to personalize MV. This research extends a single compartment lung mechanics model with physiologically relevant basis functions, to identify patient-specific lung mechanics and predict response to changes in MV care. The nonlinear evolution of pulmonary elastance as positive-end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) changes is captured by a physiologically relevant, simplified compensatory equation as a function of PEEP and pressure identification error at the baseline PEEP level. It allows both patient-specific and general prediction of lung elastance of higher PEEP. The prediction outcome is validated with data from two volume-controlled ventilation (VCV) trials and one pressure-controlled ventilation (PCV) trial, where the biggest PEEP prediction interval is a clinically unrealistic 20cmH2O, comprising 210 prediction cases over 36 patients (22 VCV; 14 PCV). Predicted absolute peak inspiratory pressure (PIP) errors are within 1.0cmH2O and 3.3cmH2O for 90% cases in the two VCV trials, while predicted peak inspiratory tidal volume (PIV) errors are within 0.073L for 85% cases in studied PCV trial. The model presented provides a highly accurate, predictive virtual patient model across multiple MV modes and delivery methods, and over clinically unrealistically large changes. Low computational cost, and fast, easy parameterization enable model-based, predictive decision support in real-time to safely personalize and optimize MV care.
