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  • 标题:A hybrid forecasting algorithm based on SVR and wavelet decomposition
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:I Wayan Rai Widarta ; I Wayan Arnata
  • 期刊名称:Quantitative Finance and Economics
  • 电子版ISSN:2573-0134
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:2
  • 期号:3
  • 页码:525-553
  • DOI:10.3934/QFE.2018.3.525
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:AIMS Press
  • 摘要:We present a forecasting algorithm based on support vector regression emphasizing the practical benefits of wavelets for financial time series. We utilize an e ective de-noising algorithm based on wavelets feasible under the assumption that the data is generated by a systematic pattern plus random noise. The learning algorithm focuses solely on the time frequency components, instead of the full time series, leading to a more general approach. Our findings propose how machine learning can be useful for data science applications in combination with signal processing methods. The timefrequency decomposition enables the learning algorithm to solely focus on periodical components that are beneficial to the forecasting power as we drop features with low explanatory power. The proposed integration of feature selection and parameter optimization in a single optimization step enable the proposed algorithm to be scaled for a variety of applications. Applying the algorithm to real life financial data shows wavelet decompositions based on the Daubechie and Coiflet basis functions to deliver the best results for the classification task.
  • 关键词:regression;spectral analysis;time series;financial markets
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