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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Emerging markets’ vulnerability to a reassessment of risk
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Irina Balteanu Livia Chiţu
  • 期刊名称:EU Banking Sector Stability
  • 印刷版ISSN:1725-5546
  • 电子版ISSN:1725-5554
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 期号:1
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:European Central Bank
  • 摘要:This box assesses potential vulnerabilities facing large emerging market economies (EMEs) more than a year after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and the risks posed to euro area financial stability. It shows that financial conditions in EMEs have weathered the pandemic well so far, despite an intense but short-lived stress episode when the pandemic first emerged. While many EMEs benefit from more solid fundamentals than in past crises, high debt burdens and exposures to the US dollar and foreign investors may pose challenges for some countries. A structural decomposition of capital flows shows that global factors have been the most important driver of the recovery of EME capital flows over the past year. Looking ahead, risks to EME financial stability could arise from a reversal in global risk sentiment, as well as from rising yields in the United States and other advanced economies and US dollar appreciation. Euro area financial stability could be vulnerable to wider turbulence affecting a number of EMEs, although country-specific shocks do not appear to have a sizeable impact.
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