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  • 标题:On the nonparametric inference of coefficients of self-exciting jump-diffusion
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Chiara Amorino ; Charlotte Dion-Blanc ; Arnaud Gloter
  • 期刊名称:Electronic Journal of Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1935-7524
  • 出版年度:2022
  • 卷号:16
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:3212-3277
  • DOI:10.1214/22-EJS2019
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Institute of Mathematical Statistics
  • 摘要:In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional diffusion process with jumps driven by a Hawkes process. We are interested in the estimations of the volatility function and of the jump function from discrete high-frequency observations in a long time horizon which remained an open question until now. First, we propose to estimate the volatility coefficient. For that, we introduce a truncation function in our estimation procedure that allows us to take into account the jumps of the process and estimate the volatility function on a linear subspace of L2(A) where A is a compact interval of R. We obtain a bound for the empirical risk of the volatility estimator, ensuring its consistency, and then we study an adaptive estimator w.r.t. the regularity. Then, we define an estimator of a sum between the volatility and the jump coefficient modified with the conditional expectation of the intensity of the jumps. We also establish a bound for the empirical risk for the non-adaptive estimators of this sum, the convergence rate up to the regularity of the true function, and an oracle inequality for the final adaptive estimator. Finally, we give a methodology to recover the jump function in some applications. We conduct a simulation study to measure our estimators’ accuracy in practice and discuss the possibility of recovering the jump function from our estimation procedure.
  • 关键词:60G55;62G05;Adaptation;Hawkes process;jump diffusion;nonparametric estimation;Volatility estimation
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