首页    期刊浏览 2025年07月23日 星期三
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Stability Analysis of the Covid 19 Spread Model Considering Physical Distancing and Self Precaution
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Nurul Aini Istiqomah ; Widowati ; Ratna Herdiana
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Management
  • 电子版ISSN:2395-5252
  • 出版年度:2022
  • 卷号:4
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:768-778
  • DOI:10.35629/5252-0401572578
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:IJAEM JOURNAL
  • 摘要:The disease caused by SARS-CoV-2, is called Covid-19, and has become pandemic that must be considered in order to control its spread. Covid-19 can be transmitted between humans through mouth or nose when infectedindividuals sneezes, coughs, or talks. In this paper, we develop a mathematical model that introducing physical distancing and self-precaution in the spread of Covid-19. Dynamical model of Covid-19 spread in this paper consist of five variables: Susceptible, Traced, Quarantine, Infected, and Recovery. The results of its analysis obtained are two equilibrium points, called disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. Analysis of stability at the equilibrium points is determined by basic reproduction number. If the value of basic reproduction number is greater than one, then this dynamic model is asymptotically stable in endemic equilibrium point. Numerical simulation is provided to explain the behaviour of the system and to understand the impact of the physical distancingand self-precaution on the spread of Covid-19 in a population using real data of Covid-19 outbreak in Indonesia. Furthermore, if the level of physical distancing and self-precaution in the population is higher, then contact between individuals is also reduced. Thus, the transmission of Covid-19 infection can be controlled.
  • 关键词:covid-19;physical distancing;selfprecaution;dynamical model;stability
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有